FanEx Analysis Draft
Round 19

Rules | Transactions

Draft Rounds - See below for analysis
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20  

Final Analysis

 19.01
Chris Dolfi | Tom Walls
TE Brandon Pettigrew
(rookie)
QB: Rodgers Hill Pennington RB: Peterson RBrown JJones Hightower Graham
WR: White Evans Avery Ginn Gage Bradley 
TE: Fasano Pettigrew PK: Bironas Hartley DT: PHI

With all other teams having two TEs, we knew this pick could wait for a bit.  But why Pettigrew with some vets still available?  He's a rookie - and rookie TEs (and receivers in general) don't do well historically.  He's got a rookie QB throwing him the ball, even if he was the #1 pick in the draft.  And he plays for one of the worst 
teams in NFL history.  Hmm... come to think of it - why DID we draft Pettigrew?!?  Oh yeah, because we'd 
rather take a flyer on a highly touted TE like Pettigrew on a team that will be forced to throw the ball a lot, 
rather than settle for the 1-2 points a week we can expect on average from guys like Desmond Clark, 
Leonard Pope, or L.J. Smith.  Linehan has worked wonders with TEs before, so we'll happily take any possibility of an upside with Pettigrew over being forced to hope that a 'veteran' like Leonard Pope will somehow wash enough of the stink of failure off himself to manage more than 23 catches a season.

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19.02
TC Cannon
PK Nick Folk
QB: Brees Russell RB: Turner Moreno FTaylor Charles BJackson 
WR: Fitzgerald SMoss Cotchery Moore Nicks Bennett
TE: Winslow Shockey
PK: Kaeding Folk DT: Giants

Dolfi/Walls quickly claimed both my PK targets. I was really looking forward to having the Titan and/or Saint 
as my PK. But since they are gone and fellow member Craig Davis finally has his quota of Cowboys, I now 
get to claim my token Cowboy for the roster. Folk is a very fine kicker - no better or worst than most other professionals, but he is a Cowboy.  

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19.03

Matt Pitzer
PK Lawrence Tynes
QB: Rivers Palmer Quinn  RB: Jones-Drew Grant Lewis Norwood Morris
WR: Wayne RWilliams SMoss Curtis Heyward-Bay
TE: Olsen Davis
PK: Tynes: DT: Packers Bucs

If you put together Tynes and John Carney's stats, you get 149 points, which would have led the league last year. The Giants went back to Tynes by the end of last season and dumped Carney so it's all systems go for Tynes. I know kickers rarely repeat atop the league, but that is a couple of big seasons in a row for the Giants kickers. Their offense will continue getting plenty of looks, and Tynes can handle the Meadowlands' weather.
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19.04

Greg Kellogg 
PK Rian Lindell 
QB: Brady DelHomme RB: Tomlinson Wells DBrown Fargas Bush
WR: Owens VJackson Mason SSmith Burleson Britt

TE: Clark Ingram 
PK: Lindell  DT: Jets Bills
Back to back Buffalo picks for Kellogg.  Lindell had a down year in 2008, but he still managed 124 points.  
The addition of Owens to the offense should give him even more chances in 2009 and since picking kickers 
is like throwing darts in the dark, I opt for kickers on teams that I expect to move the ball.  Buffalo should do 
that in 2009.

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19.05
Craig Davis
QB Daunte Culpepper 
QB: Schaub Cassel Culpepper RB: Forte Barber FJones Jackson Maroney Choice
 
WR: Bowe Edwards Holmes Austin Harvin BJones 
TE: Carlson Scheffler
  PK: Gould: DT: Cowboys

I already have two viable fantasy QBs, but in a draft this deep it never hurts to have three starters. Culpepper 
is slated to be the starter for now and that's good enough for me. Likely won't see my starting lineup with the exception of maybe one week.
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19.06

Duane Cahill 
DT Cardinals
QB: Manning Flacco RB: SJackson Jacobs LJohnson Mendenhall 
WR: Royal Ward Crabtree Burress Henry Engram Robiskie
TE: Gonzalez Keller 
PK: Gostkowski Longwell  DT: Texans Cardinals
Just a shot-in-the-dark pick here.  The Cardinals defense spends an awful lot of time on the field.  They give 
up a lot of points, but should have extended opportunities for sacks and interceptions. 

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19.07

TC Cannon  (via Holm trade)
WR James Jones
QB: Brees Russell RB: Turner Moreno FTaylor Charles BJackson 
WR: Fitzgerald SMoss Cotchery Moore Nicks Bennett JJones
TE: Winslow Shockey PK: Kaeding Folk DT: Giants
Because of the size of these FAD rosters, teams have a couple of chances to have 'bonus' picks; ones that 
are committed to a  less likely contributors. (See recent Culpepper, Choice, Galloway, Sanchez picks) and a few rookie runners were disregarded and it  came down to two younger receivers, both with unsuccessful histories - Sweed PIT or Jones GB.  No one is suggesting that either be drafted for smaller rosters. That said, based on the personality of the Packer's offense, Jones is the wild WR7 pick. 

In truth, I really do not understand Jones' lack of past success. He seems as talented as many NFL starters, 
but can not seem to get to that 500-4 production level. Maybe.. Just maybe... this will be his year. 
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19.08

Brian Hulett
PK Neil Rackers
QB: Ryan Bulger  RB: Gore McFadden Stewart McClain Faulk
WR: Jennings Marshall Henderson Coles Camarillo Jenkins 
TE: Cooley Heap PK: Dawson Rackers  DT: Bears Titans
As the draft dwindles down to the longshots, deep sleepers, and backup players at the minor positions, I just have one question for the guys and gals reading this...what are you thinking?  Do you really need my analysis 
of a 19th-round backup kicker?

Just in case the answer is "Yes, Brian!  We are dying for your salient thoughts on this most urgent matter!" I'll remind you that Neil Rackers was the top PK a few years back (2005) and, while it's true that he has steadily slid to #19 last year in FanEx scoring at his position, he apparently has a stranglehold on his job, plays for a high-scoring offense with a decent defense, and even as the #19 kicker last year burst out with NINE weeks with 10-plus points per week.
 
You're welcome.  Throw money.

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19.09

John Georgopoulos
WR Nate Washington 
QB: Cutler EManning Sanchez RB: D Williams Portis Lynch R Williams 
WR: DJackson Breaston Walter Hester Bruce Randle El Washington

TE: Gates Scaife
PK: Akers DT: Steelers Panthers
Washington is currently listed as a starter for the Titans, and he had flashes of brilliance while with the Steelers. 
At this stage of the game, that’s not too bad.

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19.10

Chris Rito | Mike Nazarek
PK Adam Vinatieri
QB: Warner Hasselbeck Collins  RB: Westbrook Addai Parker C Taylor
WR: AJohnson Colston Boldin Chambers Morgan Galloway 
TE: Daniels Miller  PK: Elam Vinatieri DT: Ravens Vikings
It is hard to get excited over the drafting of a backup kicker...but when the man in question is one of the best 
of all time and playing mostly indoors on a potent offense, I get a little glimmer of a smile. Coming off the worst fantasy season of his career, it seems reasonable that he will rebound some and approach his career 
average stats...which are pretty darn good. Normally we would wait until round 20 for our second kicker in this format, but it seemed likely that at least 2 and possibly 3 kickers would go in the intervening picks and only 
one position player, so we took the kicker now.
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19.11

Ian Allan
PK John Kasay
QB: Roethlisberger Garrard Leftwich  RB: Bush White Benson Rice Washington Bradshaw 
WR: SSmith Gonzalez Ochocinco Muhammad 

TE: Celek Miller
PK: Reed Kasay DT: Patriots Dolphins
Kasay will be 40 in October,  but the accuracy is still  there. He’s hit 88 percent of his field goals over  the last three  years, 3rd-best in the league. He still has enough pop to sneak  in a  50-53 yarder, if necessary, and he seems to be the most professional and   precise kicker in the league on shorter kicks. He’s an NFL-best 61 
of 62  inside 40 yards over the last four years. Carolina appears to  be one of the  league’s better teams, so 
 I think he’s got a decent  chance to be a top-5  kicker again this  year.
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19.12

Mike Harmon
PK Matt Prater
QB: Romo Edwards Favre  RB: Slaton Ward TJones Greene McCoy Coffee 
WR: Moss Housh Driver Holt Crayton 
TE: Shiancoe McMichael PK: Prater: DT: Chargers Seahawks

Prater excelled as a rookie, racking up 26 field goals and 39 PATs. He was frequently used as a long-
distance option, as 20 of his 38 attempts came from distances of at least 40 yards. Prater converted 5-of-6 
of his attempts from distances of 50+. He missed six of his 11 attempts from 40-49 yards, so I am moderately concerned.

With that said, I do expect to see Prater used frequently with Kyle Orton under center. He’ll work the field efficiently and limit turnovers, and it’ll be interesting to see whether Josh McDaniels works Prater as a “Super Jock” option like Mike Shanahan did last year. There’s definitely bonus potential here.

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