FanEx Analysis
Draft
Round 10
Rules
| Transactions
Draft Rounds - See below
for analysis
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Final
Analysis
10.01
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Mike
Harmon QB Trent Edwards QB: Romo Edwards RB: Slaton Ward TJones Greene WR: Moss Housh Driver Holt TE: PK: DT: |
As
I surveyed the remaining quarterbacks in this slot, it was truly
difficult to create separation between them. Ultimately, I opted
for upside and snagged Edwards. Am I rolling the proverbial dice
on good behavior from |
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10.02
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TC
Cannon (via
Allan trade) TE Kellen Winslow QB: Brees RB: Turner Moreno WR: Fitzgerald SMoss Cotchery Moore TE: Winslow PK: DT: |
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'Zoom-Zoom' Winslow
gets a fresh start was a Buccaneer and is selected over Cooley
as this team's lead TE. If you can overlook his often juvenile personality,
you can see his very positive potential. He will be an important part of the Buc's offense that will feature plenty of
Kellen Winslow -- simply because there are not a lot of other options. |
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10.03 |
Chris
Rito | Mike Nazarek RB Chester Taylor QB: Warner Hasselbeck RB: Westbrook Addai Parker Taylor WR: AJohnson Colston Boldin TE: Daniels PK: DT: |
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A calculated risk pays off as
=================================================================================== |
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10.04 |
Shannon
O'Leary | John Georgopoulos QB Eli Manning QB: Cutler EManning RB: Williams Portis Lynch WR: DJackson Breaston Walter Hester TE: Gates PK: DT |
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Several
semi-positive passer options remain undrafted. Medium depth QBs
on playoff quality teams were my target. Flacco and Manning seem
the top options, and we prefer the Giant because we feel they will
outscore the Ravens by a few passing TDs each month. While it is
expected that RB Jacobs will be the endzone guy in Giantsville,
let's not forget Manning's ego must also be gratified. Even with
no name receivers, Manning will provide enough passing scores to
justify his roster spot.
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10.05
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Brian
Hulett TE Chris Cooley QB: Ryan RB: Gore McFadden Stewart McClain WR: Jennings Marshall Henderson Coles TE: Cooley PK: DT: |
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There simply is no good reason to
draft a TE earlier than this. In past seasons we've seen
stud receivers at the position command a higher price, but not
now. The top guys have been too disappointing too often.
As for Cooley, he's steady as a
rock. Last year, although only scoring once (ugh), he
set new career highs for receptions (83) and yardage (849).
He previously had scored at least six times each season, so
'08 had to be just a bizarre aberration. (Here's
hoping.) Even with only one score, he was the #5 FanEx
TE last year, so he feels like a real steal as the 113th
player selected.
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10.06 |
Tony
Holm QB Kyle Orton QB: McNabb Orton RB: CJohnson KSmith Thomas McGahee Sproles WR: CJohnson Bryant Berrian TE: Witten PK: DT: |
|
This was a tough selection for me.
All the selections I was steering to all ended up being
"strategy" picks and not necessarily good ADP or
value picks. I'm probably done picking RBs, one more at
most, I need WRs
but the next 20 or 30 all look about the same to me so after some deliberation I selected QB Kyle Orton, DEN. This one may back fire but you need producing QBs in the FAD as it's the highest scoring position.
Kyle Orton hasn't even been named
the starter in Denver but putting together all the facts, it
sure seems like he will be and given that he has a nice
upgrade at the WR position, has the chance to do well. I
don't like QBs in new systems but looking at what's left I
wanted a higher risk, higher reward QB and Kyle Orton is it.
Orton did quite well in Chicago last year with little to no
help catching the ball, he's under the tutelage of new head
coach Josh McDaniels, New England's offensive coordinator who
worked with Tom Brady and Matt Cassel and I suspect the
Broncos will want to leverage their strength in the passing
game a little more than usual this year and that will require
an accurate QB. The winds of change are in Denver.
=================================================================================== |
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10.07 |
Duane
Cahill WR Plaxico Burress QB: Manning RB: SJackson Jacobs LJohnson Mendenhall WR: Royal Ward Crabtree Burress TE: Gonzalez PK: DT:: |
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I've been eyeballing Plaxico
Burress for the last couple of rounds, and just waiting until
I thought the time was right to grab him. Frankly, the
"right" time is probably a round or two from now,
but when I looked at the available backups at QB, RB and WR, I
didn't really see anyone that was a must-have for my squad.
Burress sits there with the Sword
of Damacles hanging over his head in the form of a potential
3-1/2 year
prison sentence for unlicensed possession of a handgun in New York State. That said, I would expect the probability of a lengthy appeals process (now including a possible argument that New York's laws are unconstitutional) is fairly high and that Burress (like most athletes, it seems) will get off with a significantly lighter penalty involving probation and community service.
If I'm right, and Burress winds up
in Tampa or with the other New York team, here's a 10th round
steal - potentially enough to help me knock Ian Allen off the
FAD throne. If I'm wrong, then Burress joins busts like
Brandon Jackson, Matt Leinart and Jon Kitna, all of whom were
taken in the 10th round of last year's FanEx FAD.
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10.08 |
Craig
Davis WR Miles Austin QB: Schaub Cassel RB: Forte Barber FJones WR: Bowe Edwards Holmes Austin TE: Carlson PK: DT: |
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Austin is going to get the first
crack at being the WR2 behind Roy Williams, and with his speed
and ability to run correct routes, he could be a major surprise in the fantasy world. Austin possesses the ability to get behind defenders but is also not afraid to go over the middle to make a tough third-down catch in traffic. With Owens now in Buffalo, Dallas has been looking to find that perfect complementary receiver to Williams. I believe Austin can be that guy. =================================================================================== |
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10.09 |
Greg
Kellogg WR Mark Clayton QB: Brady RB: Tomlinson Wells DBrown WR: Owens VJackson Mason SSmith TE: Clark PK: DT: |
| There
are two trains of thought for leagues like this when you get to
this point in a draft. One says swing for the fences and
go after boom or bust players. The other says play it safe
and get someone you know will score even if you don't expect a
lot from him. My thought is to combine the two
philosophies. First, get that player that has been steady
but has some upside. Then go after the long shots.
This is my "safe" pick. Clayton should get me 50-60 receptions, 600-750 yards and 4-6 TDs. The upside - if Derrick Mason falls apart, Clayton becomes Joe Flacco's go-to guy. =================================================================================== |
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10.10 |
Matt
Pitzer TE Greg Olsen QB: Rivers Palmer RB: Jones-Drew Grant Lewis WR: Wayne RWilliams SMoss Curtis TE: Olsen PK: DT: |
| I'm
happy with my front-line players at the other positions so I
could go searching for a bargain at tight end. I was happy to
find one in Olsen, my sixth-ranked tight end. Olsen had a solid
rookie season, showing flashes of brilliance at times. Now, with
QB Jay Cutler coming over, the Bears will be ready to throw
quite a bit more. They don't have any reliable wide receivers so
it will be a lot of Olsen all over the field. =================================================================================== |
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10.11 |
TC
Cannon RB Fred Taylor QB: Brees RB: Turner Moreno Taylor WR: Fitzgerald SMoss Cotchery Moore TE: Winslow PK: DT: |
| The
Patriots are a fine team that scores often. Having their most
productive rusher would benefit any FF bench as part-time
starter. The primary problem with investing a selection on the Patriots'
main man is that no one knows who that lead man will be. RB
Maroney *was* the guy, until he was damaged in September. Now,
the elder Taylor joins the team, and he is my projection to be
their primary rusher. Sure Faulk will also get a lot of 3rd down
action. So it could be the league's true Rusher-By-Committee
story with a three-way split being common in Boston. Even so,
600 rush yards and six scores seems a reasonable outlook for
Taylor. Hmmm.. maybe I will do a Taylor/Maroney handcuff with
the next pick. Let me sleep on it. =================================================================================== |
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10.12 |
Chris
Dolfi | Tom Walls QB Shaun Hill QB: Rodgers Hill RB: Peterson RBrown JJones Hightower WR: White Evans Avery Ginn TE: PK: DT: |
| We
wanted to get a competent backup QB at this point, but we
actually think we made one of our best picks of the draft with
Shaun Hill at 10.12. Hill didn't start for the 49er's
until game eight, but when he did he put up great stats.
He was 12th in the NFL in QB rating (87.5) and still topped
2,000 yards in the nine contests he started. But what
really impressed us was his scoring in this format - he averaged
18.867ppg, and if we use that average to figure out what he
might have gotten for a whole season, we come up with 301+
points for the season, which would have ranked him 12th in QB
fantasy scoring! He threw at least 1 TD in every game that
he started, save one. Toss in the fact that San Fran grabbed a
real receiving threat in Michael Crabtree, and we are VERY
excited about the upside on Shaun Hill this season. =================================================================================== |
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