FanEx Analysis
Draft
Round 4
Rules
| Transactions
Draft Rounds - See below
for analysis
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Final
Analysis
4.01
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Mike
Harmon WR TJ Houshmandzadeh QB: RB: Slaton Ward WR: Moss Housh TE: PK: |
I’m
going large with Housh (I’ve seemingly selected him in eight
mock drafts already), banking on the Seahawks to rebound from
last year’s debacle. It’s all a question of health. Will the
line be healthy, and will the other receivers and Matt
Hasselbeck team to give Housh opportunities? We know he’ll
catch a ton of balls anywhere on the field. Now, it’s all
about finding the painted grass. |
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4.02
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Ian
Allan WR Anthony Gonzalez QB: RB: Westbrook Bush WR: SSmith WelkerGonzalez TE: PK: |
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I
was disappointed to see Derrick Ward selected at 3.12. I was
thinking I’d select Ward and lock up the |
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4.03 |
Chris
Rito | Mike Nazarek WR Anquan Boldin QB: RB: Westbrook WR: AJohnson Colston Boldin TE: PK: |
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Unbelievably,
Boldin made it through the turn... being passed over for two
guys who are stepping into a new role (Gonzo) or a new team
(Houshmandzadeh), and a still-gimpy RB. We are
pleased to make him our
WR#3! The scurry to draft middle-tier WRs may now commence....LOL
No, we haven't gone totally loony and abandoned the stud RB
theory in its entirety; this is a lesson in understanding your
scoring system and the remaining value on the board. In a PPR
league, high-reception WRs get a bump in value. In a league
where you can start a 4th WR and must start 3 WRs...the stud
WR gets
a bump in value. In a draft position where the pickings at RB consist of about 10-12 guys with equivalent predicted fortunes in 2009....the WRs get a bump in value. In a best-ball scoring format, it is often possible to snare a bunch of part time RBs and get decent RB#2 production depending on who scores a TD on any given weekend....snaring multiple positional studs is an oft-successful strategy. The direct comparison must be made between the possible WR#3 and RB#2 we could grab here. Boldin (we feel) would far exceed the production of any RB on the market now: mathematically, Boldin + (RB#2 in round 5) >> RB#2 + (WR#3 in round 5). The fact that we now have TWICE screwed the "predrafted-no-more" Shannon O'Leary in two possible chances is merely amusing icing on the cake. =================================================================================== |
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4.04 |
Shannon
O'Leary | John Georgopoulos TE Antonio Gates QB: RB: Williams Portis Lynch WR: TE: Gates PK: |
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We really needed a
receiver here, but none of the talent on the board excited me.
Injuries, new QBs, and such didn't make them all that
attractive. Gates was at or above the talent level of the
receiver available, so we figured why not. Gates did have a down
year last year, battling toe injuries, but still managed to be
the number 4 tight end. Look for him to be healthier this year
and return to top form, as we are.....
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4.05
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Brian
Hulett WR Brandon Marshall QB: RB: Gore McFadden WR: Jennings Marshall TE: PK: |
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Last year there
was much trepidation about drafting Brandon Marshall,
especially in these early drafts. He
had shown promise in '07, but there were questions a year ago because of off-field issues and possible suspension. Greg Kellogg drafted him at 4.03, just about this same place. The suspension wound up lasting just one game, then in week two the kid kicked off another solid season with a team-record 18 receptions.
This year it's
offseason hip surgery and a new QB. Owners will be
justifiably more concerned about the latter than the former.
Still, even with limited upside Marshall is a very solid WR2
for any fantasy roster. And my daughter, the Broncos
fan, may even root for my fantasy squad this year.
=================================================================================== |
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4.06 |
Tony
Holm RB Kevin Smith QB: RB: CJohnson KSmith WR: CJohnson TE: PK: |
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I
am putting together a team of Lions that Greg Kellogg could be
proud of. Detroit lost a lot of games but |
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4.07 |
Duane
Cahill RB Larry Johnson QB: Manning RB: SJackson Jacobs LJohnson WR: TE: PK: |
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We are all very
aware of what's not to like about LJ. Here's what's to
like:
Before sitting
out with off-the-field issues last year, Johnson was averaging
almost five yards per carry. HC Todd Haley has vowed a
balanced attack, utilizing players to their strengths.
The offensive line improves with the addition of former
Charger Mike Goff and the continued development of Branden
Albert. The coaching staff that had Johnson in the
dog house is gone, and backups Jamaal Charles and Kolby Smith
rushed for
only one touchdown between them.
All of that
said, I'm much more comfortable with Larry Johnson as my third
running back than I would be having him as my second.
=================================================================================== |
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4.08 |
Craig
Davis WR Braylon Edwards QB: RB: Forte Barber WR: Bowe Edwards TE: PK: |
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Probably not a
popular pick at this point in the draft because of his dreadful
2008 campaign, but we’ve all seen what he’s capable of from the previous two seasons and there’s no reason to think he can’t get back to those type of numbers. Am I expecting 16 TDs this season? No, not really, but getting 10 isn’t out of the question and there’s very little doubt in my mind this guy will surpass 1000 receiving yards. Put those two together and I feel very good about my WR2 from Cleveland. =================================================================================== |
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4.09 |
Greg
Kellogg RB Chris Wells (rookie) QB: Brady RB: Tomlinson Wells WR: Owens TE: PK: |
| When
looking for a second running back in a league like this - where
the top lineup available is selected automatically - you want to
try and find a guy with high upside. Right now there are
two rookies that we are reasonably sure are going to start and
be their team's primary ball carrier. Wells is one of
them. I briefly considered Thomas Jones but his holdout
and the drafting of Shonn Greene scared me off. That might
be a mistake. =================================================================================== |
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4.10 |
Matt
Pitzer WR Roy Williams QB: RB: Jones-Drew Grant WR: Wayne RWilliams TE: PK: |
| Well,
why not? Somebody has to catch a bunch of passes in =================================================================================== |
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4.11 |
Tony
Holm
(via Cannon trade) TE Jason Witten QB: RB: CJohnson KSmith WR: CJohnson TE: Witten PK: |
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Trade Analysis:
I traded away Greg Jennings (who I would have drafted in the
3rd) for Jason Witten and got a move up from the 14th to the
7th round.
I think Witten
will be a beast this year as the Cowboys find they have a lot
less in the receiving game than they thought. One
knock on Witten is that the loss of Owens will bring more
attention his way, but Witten will be just as capable and
will be a focal point of a good passing offense.
=================================================================================== |
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4.12 |
Chris
Dolfi | Tom Walls RB Julius Jones QB: RB: Peterson RBrown JJones WR: White TE: PK: |
| This
may be considered a reach by some, but we like Jones' upside
this year when compared to other available RBs. Seattle is
moving to a zone blocking scheme this year; this suits Jones'
running style and should lead to more carries this year. Maurice Morris is gone, but there are always FA RBs out there who could come in and take time from Jones. Julius is not a big fan of contact, which can get him in trouble with coaching staffs (Staves?); but we feel that Jones should crack 1,000 yards with QB Hasselback back and an improved WR corps taking the heat off the running game. =================================================================================== |
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